Zheshang Securities: A-shares may benefit from the rising style of risk appetite, which is more inclined to small-cap growth. Zheshang Securities Research Report pointed out that the current inflation level is in the early stage of bottoming out, and there is a lot of flexibility for the recovery of effective demand. It is expected that monetary policy will still have a total easing space such as RRR cuts and interest rate cuts. In terms of large-scale assets, A-shares may benefit from rising risk appetite, and their styles are more inclined to small-cap growth, and the valuation of technology stocks may be relatively flexible. It is recommended to pay attention to high-elastic sectors such as GEM, Kechuang 50 and Beizheng 50. In the field of fixed income, the current risk-free interest rate level has gradually approached the new equilibrium level. It is expected that the yield of the next 10-year government bonds will generally fluctuate, and the long-term interest rate is less likely to have upward risks. The credit spread is expected to narrow, and the urban investment bonds in the qualified areas will sink in a short period of time or the main allocation direction.The commander of the intelligence command of the South Korean Ministry of Defense was suspended. On December 10, local time, the South Korean Ministry of National Defense announced that it would take suspension measures against Wen Xianghu, commander of the intelligence command of the Ministry of National Defense. (CCTV News)FTSE China A50 index futures rose 0.75% at the beginning, and closed up 0.84% in the last trading day and night.
China Life Insurance: In 2024, the accumulated original insurance premium income was about 644.3 billion yuan, up 4.8% year-on-year. According to the announcement of China Life Insurance, the accumulated original insurance premium income of the company was about 644.3 billion yuan from January 1, 2024 to November 30, 2024, up 4.8% year-on-year. The above data have not been audited.The Japanese government plans to set the proportion of renewable energy in 2040 at 40% to 50%. It is reported that regarding the amendment of the medium-and long-term energy policy guideline "Energy Basic Plan", the Japanese government plans to set the proportion of renewable energy in the total power generation in 2040 at 40% to 50%, and coordination has been started on this. The Japanese government will finalize the details with the ruling party and announce them next week. The current Energy Basic Plan, which was finalized at the Cabinet meeting of Japan in 2021, proposed that the proportion of renewable energy in 2030 would be 36%-38%, nuclear power 20%-22%, thermal power 41% and hydrogen and ammonia 1%.The yen fell to its lowest level against the US dollar since November 29th, at 151.55.
A shares are slow! A50ETF Huabao (159596) closed up by 0.9%, and eight of the top ten stocks rose. On December 10, the market opened sharply higher and then continued to fall. A50ETF Huabao (159596) closed up by 0.9%, with a turnover of 158 million yuan. In terms of constituent stocks, eight of the top ten awkward stocks rose. China Merchants Bank led the gains, while Kweichow Moutai, China Ping An and other stocks followed suit. Datong Securities pointed out that Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party's policy of steady growth next year exceeded expectations, and A-shares are expected to usher in a cross-grade market. Under the guidance of the two monetary policy tools of the central bank and a series of policies such as mergers and acquisitions and market value management of the CSRC, the stock market ushered in a reversal at the end of September. Driven by loose monetary policy and more active fiscal policy, the economic fundamentals will stabilize and rebound with high probability next year; In terms of funds, the entry of stabilization funds and more long-term patient capital into the market is also predictable, and the risk appetite and valuation of A shares will also be supported. Therefore, in 2025, A-share slow cattle can be expected.A shares are slow! A50ETF Huabao (159596) closed up by 0.9%, and eight of the top ten stocks rose. On December 10, the market opened sharply higher and then continued to fall. A50ETF Huabao (159596) closed up by 0.9%, with a turnover of 158 million yuan. In terms of constituent stocks, eight of the top ten awkward stocks rose. China Merchants Bank led the gains, while Kweichow Moutai, China Ping An and other stocks followed suit. Datong Securities pointed out that Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party's policy of steady growth next year exceeded expectations, and A-shares are expected to usher in a cross-grade market. Under the guidance of the two monetary policy tools of the central bank and a series of policies such as mergers and acquisitions and market value management of the CSRC, the stock market ushered in a reversal at the end of September. Driven by loose monetary policy and more active fiscal policy, the economic fundamentals will stabilize and rebound with high probability next year; In terms of funds, the entry of stabilization funds and more long-term patient capital into the market is also predictable, and the risk appetite and valuation of A shares will also be supported. Therefore, in 2025, A-share slow cattle can be expected.Pacific Securities: The historical low of the valuation office of liquor industry is about to be repaired. The Pacific Securities Research Report pointed out that the liquor industry is rationally slowing down, and the valuation office is at a historical low, and it is about to be repaired. Next year, the leading growth target will generally drop to single digits. However, the accumulated inventory risk and pricing pressure still need time to gradually ease after the imbalance between supply and demand has intensified in the past two years and the previous industry bubble has receded. With the economic recovery stimulated by this round of policies and the stabilization of the bottom of the real estate industry, the liquor industry is expected to usher in a wave of recovery. Since 2023, industry differentiation has intensified, but with the improvement of management level and refined channel operation in recent years, excellent wine enterprises have stronger marketing foundation and anti-risk ability compared with previous downward cycles. The price of high-end wine determines the brand position, so the approval price is more important, which depends on the choice of quantity and price and the control of approval price by wine enterprises. Sub-high-end needs to pay more attention to channel risks. The high growth brought by pre-distribution investment needs to be tested in the downward period, and once the channel collapses and stalls, it is difficult to reverse it. Real estate wine pays attention to the growth momentum of internal product structure and the market potential in and around the province. The upgrading speed determines the slope and the ceiling determines the space. Suggested attention: Wuliangye, LU ZHOU LAO JIAO CO.,LTD, Shuijingfang, etc.
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
Strategy guide
12-13